Akwatia By-Election: Sanity Africa Poll Tips NDC’s Bernard Baidoo To Win Contest

Akwatia By-Election: Sanity Africa Poll Tips NDC’s Bernard Baidoo To Win Contest

  • A new survey by the research group, Sanity Africa, predicted the NDC's Bernard Bediako to win the upcoming Akwatia by-election
  • Sanity Africa predicted that Bernard Bediako would surpass NPP's Solomon K. Asumadu by a margin of just 4.6 percentage points
  • The parliamentary seat became vacant after the death of its MP, Ernest Kumi, on July 7, 2025

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Sanity Africa, a research group, has projected that the National Democratic Congress (NDC) candidate, Bernard Bediako, will emerge as the winner in the upcoming Akwatia by-election.

The new survey by the research group indicated that Bernard Bediako will be victorious with 52.3% against the New Patriotic Party’s (NPP) Solomon K. Asumadu.

Sanity Africa, National Democratic Congress, Bernard Bediako, Akwatia by-election, Election winner, Solomon K. Asumadu.
Sanity Africa predicts NDC’s Bernard Baidoo to emerge victorious over NPP's Solomon K. Asumadu. Photo credit: @salabar
Source: Facebook

Sanity Africa added that Solomon K. Asumadu will receive 47.7% of the votes.

The survey was conducted between August 1 and August 27, 2025.

The findings showed that Bernard Baidoo was popular and preferred among the educated ones, while Asumadu was mainly the choice of the uneducated.

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82.7% graduates favoured the NDC's Bernard Baidoo against 17.3% for the NPP's Asumadu.

59.6% of the youth (18–40) prefer Asumadu. The unemployed (52.7%) support Asumadu, showing his strong appeal among galamsey-linked communities.

Voters with no formal education (56%) support Asumadu, compared to 44% for Bernard Baidoo.

Sanity Africa highlighted that Bernard Baidoo dominates among educated voters, while Asumadu is most preferred among the unemployed and informal workers.

Sanity Africa added that the group that turned out massively could prove decisive.

The report, therefore, indicated that mobilising voters will be critical in determining who wins the much-anticipated by-election.

Why the Akwatia MP seat is vacant

The parliamentary seat became vacant after the death of its MP, Ernest Kumi, on July 7, 2025.

The Electoral Commission set a date of September 2, 2025, for the Akwatia by-election.

Bernard Baidoo, a lawyer and constituency secretary of the NDC, won a primary to represent his party, while Solomon K. Asumadu, a mining sector figure, was handpicked, a move the survey suggests could create discontent among some party grassroots.

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“NDC’s court case against Ernest Kumi led to his death”: Dr Bawumia alleges during campaign

Mahama expected in Akwatia ahead of by-election

Meanwhile, President John Dramani Mahama is expected to be in the Akwatia Constituency a day before the by-election on September 2, 2025.

President Mahama will attend the commissioning of a Driver and Vehicle Licensing Authority (DVLA) office in Akwatia.

Richard Etornam Nyarko, the Eastern Regional Youth organiser for the NDC, said Mahama's itinerary was a final push by the National Democratic Congress.

Sanity Africa, National Democratic Congress, Bernard Bediako, Akwatia by-election, Election winner, Solomon K. Asumadu.
Nana Akufo-Addo, Dr Bawumia, and NPP bigwigs attend Ernest Kumi's one-week observance. Photo credit: @nakufoaddo
Source: Facebook

Police seize guns in Akwatia ahead of by-election

YEN.com.gh reported that the Eastern South Regional Police Command arrested 10 suspects and retrieved nine weapons in separate operations at Akwatia.

This was part of ongoing security operations ahead of the by-election in the town.

The weapons seized by the police reportedly included eight pump-action guns and one locally manufactured single-barreled gun.

NPP presence in Akwatia

A memorial in honour of the late MP was held at the Akyem Wenchi Funeral Grounds on Friday, August 29, 2025.

Several NPP bigwigs, including ex-President Nana Akufo-Addo, Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, Kennedy Ohene Agyapong, Matthew Opoku-Prempeh and Alexander Kwamina Afenyo-Markin, were present at the event.

Source: YEN.com.gh

Authors:
Magdalene Larnyoh avatar

Magdalene Larnyoh (Human-Interest editor) Magdalene Larnyoh writes for the Human Interest Desk at YEN.com.gh. She has over ten years of experience in media and communications. She previously worked for Citi FM, Pulse Ghana, and Business Insider Africa. She obtained a BA in Social Sciences from the University of Cape Coast (UCC) in 2012. Reach out to her on magdalene.larnyoh@yen.com.gh