Why Italy Could Still Qualify for 2026 World Cup Despite Bosnia Defeat

Why Italy Could Still Qualify for 2026 World Cup Despite Bosnia Defeat

  • Italy missed out on a third straight FIFA World Cup after a penalty shootout defeat to Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team
  • A slim lifeline remains if Iran national football team withdraw due to ongoing geopolitical tensions involving the United States
  • FIFA President Gianni Infantino has insisted Iran will play, making Italy’s chances of a late entry highly unlikely

Italy are clinging to the faintest hope of a World Cup lifeline despite suffering a humiliating play-off exit at the hands of Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team.

The Azzurri were beaten 4-1 on penalties by a Bosnia side led by Edin Dzeko on a night that deepened the nation’s recent struggles.

Italy, World Cup 2026, Bosnia, Iran, US-Iran war, FIFA President Gianni Infantino, Italy fail to qualify.
Italy still have slim hopes of qualifying for the World Cup should Iran withdraw. Photo: Claudio Villa - FIGC/Peter Tah.
Source: Getty Images

As a result, Italy have now failed to qualify for three consecutive editions of the FIFA World Cup, a staggering downturn for one of football’s most decorated nations.

However, there remains a slim and unlikely scenario that could yet see Italy feature at the tournament in the United States this summer. That possibility hinges on the potential withdrawal of Iran national football team.

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Uncertainty continues to surround Iran’s participation due to ongoing geopolitical tensions involving the United States, one of the joint hosts of the competition.

In February, the US and Israel reportedly carried out a joint missile strike on Iran that resulted in the death of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, further escalating tensions.

Doubts over Iran’s involvement intensified after the country’s sports minister stated that they “do not have the possibility for participation.”

In response, US President Donald Trump suggested that Iran should withdraw from the tournament “for their own life and safety.”

Posting on Truth Social, Trump said:

“The Iran National Soccer Team is welcome to the World Cup, but I really don’t believe it is appropriate that they be there, for their own life and safety.”

How Italy could qualify for World Cup 2026

Iran strongly rejected those remarks, insisting they “cannot be removed” from the tournament and even suggesting that it should be the United States that withdraw instead.

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With no final decision yet made, uncertainty continues to cloud Iran’s status ahead of the competition. According to FIFA regulations, the governing body “shall decide on the matter at its sole discretion and take any action it deems necessary” if a team withdraws from the World Cup.

Such a development could theoretically open the door for Italy, particularly as they are the highest-ranked side among those who failed to qualify.

Italy, World Cup 2026, Bosnia, Iran, US-Iran war, FIFA President Gianni Infantino, Italy fail to qualify.
Italy are dumped out by Bosnia on penalties as they missed out on a third straight World Cup. Photo by Image Photo Agency
Source: Getty Images

However, it is widely expected that FIFA would instead replace Iran with another team from Asia to maintain the continental balance of participating nations.

Recent comments from FIFA president Gianni Infantino appear to have all but settled the matter. He stated clearly via The Mirror:

“We want Iran to play—and Iran will play at the World Cup.”
Infantino added: “There is no plan B, C or D—there is only plan A. Iran represent their people—both those living in Iran and those living abroad.”

As things stand, Italy’s hopes remain extremely remote, with their World Cup absence set to continue unless an extraordinary turn of events unfolds.

Highest-ranked nations who will miss World Cup

Earlier, YEN.com.gh looked at five of the highest-ranked nations who will miss out on the 2026 World Cup.

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The dust has now settled on qualification for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, yet the final list of participants has delivered a surprising twist.

Several of the game’s highest-ranked nations will not be part of the global showpiece, underlining once again that reputation and ranking do not always guarantee success when it matters most.

Source: YEN.com.gh

Authors:
Isaac Darko avatar

Isaac Darko (Sports Editor) Isaac Darko is a Sports Editor at Yen, boasting over 10 years of experience in the media industry. He has produced award-winning TV shows such as "Football 360" and "Sports XTRA" on ViaSat 1/Kwese TV. Isaac began his career as an Assistant Producer at TV3 Ghana Limited (Media General) and also contributed as a Writer and Weekend Editor for Pulse Ghana. He earned his bachelor's degree in Communication Studies from the Ghana Institute of Journalism (now University of Media, Arts and Communication). Email: isaac.darko@yen.com.gh.

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