WAFCON 2026: Why Nigeria and Malawi Qualified Ahead of Zambia Despite Equal Points

WAFCON 2026: Why Nigeria and Malawi Qualified Ahead of Zambia Despite Equal Points

  • Nigeria, Zambia and Malawi all finished Group C on six points, setting up a tense tiebreaker in the ongoing 2026 WAFCON
  • The Super Falcons sealed their quarter-final place with a commanding 6-2 win over Egypt
  • YEN.com.gh explains why Nigeria and Malawi advanced ahead of Zambia despite the Copper Queens conceding just two goals

Nigeria and Malawi have reached the quarter-finals of the 2026 Women's Africa Cup of Nations after a dramatic Group C finale left all three teams tied on six points.

Despite Zambia finishing with a superior overall goal difference, CAF's head-to-head tiebreaker rules ultimately sent the Copper Queens out of the tournament.

WAFCON 2026, Nigeria, Malawi, Zambia, Super Falcons, Nigeria women's football, WAFCON 2026 quarter-finals, CAF tiebreaker rules, Egypt women's football, Asisat Oshoala, head-to-head goals scored.
Zambia exited WAFCON 2026 despite finishing level on points with Nigeria and Malawi. Photo credit: @CAFwomen/X and @NGSuper_Falcons/X.
Source: Getty Images

Nigeria did their part by thrashing Egypt 6-2 in a thrilling final group game. Asisat Oshoala opened the scoring from the penalty spot before Gift Monday doubled the advantage just before half-time.

Egypt pulled one back through Nadine Ghazi, but substitute Uchenna Kanu restored Nigeria's two-goal cushion within a minute of coming on. Captain Rasheedat Ajibade then scored twice from the spot, while Joy Omewa completed the rout.

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Zambia, meanwhile, beat Malawi 2-1 through goals from Barbara Banda and Prisca Chilufya. Tabitha Chawinga's strike proved insufficient as Malawi suffered defeat, as noted by Super Sport.

WAFCON 2026 tiebreaker: Why Zambia were eliminated

With Nigeria, Malawi, and Zambia all on six points, CAF first considered only the results between the three teams rather than their overall goal difference, as cited by Sports247.

Zambia beat Malawi 2-1 but lost 1-0 to Nigeria, while Malawi defeated Nigeria 3-2.

That left all three teams with three points from their head-to-head matches, meaning another tiebreaker was required.

Their head-to-head goal difference was also identical at zero, so CAF moved to goals scored in those fixtures.

That criterion finally separated them. Malawi had scored four goals in the relevant matches, Nigeria had three, and Zambia had only two.

Why Nigeria and Malawi qualified ahead of Zambia

As a result, Malawi finished ahead of Nigeria on head-to-head goals scored, with both teams advancing to the quarter-finals.

Read also

WAFCON 2026: Full quarter-final matchups as Ghana draw Malawi

Zambia's impressive overall goal difference could not save them because their 6-0 victory over Egypt was not considered at this stage.

WAFCON 2026, Nigeria, Malawi, Zambia, Super Falcons, Nigeria women's football, WAFCON 2026 quarter-finals, CAF tiebreaker rules, Egypt women's football, Asisat Oshoala, head-to-head goals scored.
Zambia become the first team in WAFCON history to record as many as six points and fail to progress from the group stage. Photo credit: @CAFwomen/X.
Source: Twitter

That result had given the Copper Queens a significant advantage in overall goal difference, but CAF only turns to that criterion after the applicable head-to-head rules fail to separate teams.

In the end, the difference came down to goals scored against each other, not goals scored throughout the entire group.

It was a painful exit for Zambia, who finished on the same six points as the two teams that progressed but were eliminated by the finest of margins.

Cameroon edge Ghana at WAFCON 2026

Earlier, YEN.com.gh reported that Cameroon secured a narrow win through a first-half penalty awarded after a VAR review, while Ghana’s late equaliser was ruled out for offside.

The defeat leaves the Black Queens needing a positive result against Mali to keep their hopes of reaching the knockout stage alive.

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Proofreading by Samuel Gitonga, copy editor at YEN.com.gh.

Source: YEN.com.gh

Authors:
Godwin Nii Armah Tagoe avatar

Godwin Nii Armah Tagoe (Sports Editor) Godwin Nii Armah Tagoe is a CAF-accredited journalist with over five years of experience in digital journalism. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Integrated Rural Arts and Industry (2016). Godwin's career includes covering the 2023 AFCON and grassroots competitions within Ghana. He has also served as a Presenter at VNTV, a Sports Analyst at Obonu FM, and a Football Writer for a myriad of sports websites. He joined Yen.com.gh in 2024 to cover sports. Email: godwin.tagoe@yen.com.gh.

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