Supercomputer Predicts Premier League Winner After Arsenal Beat Burnley
- Arsenal moved five points clear at the top of the Premier League after a tense 1-0 victory over Burnley, with Kai Havertz scoring a decisive goal
- Opta’s supercomputer issued a fresh prediction after the latest twist in the race, with the battle still dependent on Manchester City’s final fixtures
- Meanwhile, Arsenal matched two Premier League records, including an impressive set-piece milestone and another defensive benchmark
A supercomputer has made a fresh prediction on who will win this season’s Premier League title following Arsenal’s victory over Burnley on Monday, May 18, 2026.
The Gunners moved a step closer to being crowned 2025/26 champions after securing a tense 1-0 win against the already-relegated side at the Emirates Stadium.
Source: Getty Images
According to Sports Mole, Kai Havertz scored the only goal of the game late in the first half, rising highest to head home a corner delivered by Bukayo Saka.
The German midfielder was fortunate not to be sent off in the second half after a poor challenge on Lesley Ugochukwu, controversially escaping with only a yellow card.
The victory moved Mikel Arteta’s side five points clear of second-placed Manchester City, although the Citizens still have a game in hand against AFC Bournemouth on Tuesday night.
City, who won the FA Cup after defeating Chelsea in the final on Saturday, May 16, must beat Bournemouth to keep the title race alive heading into the last day of the season.
Arsenal now know that victory over Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park on the final day would guarantee the title, while City need to beat Aston Villa and hope the Gunners stumble.
Supercomputer predicts Premier League winner
Following the Gunners' latest win, Opta’s supercomputer has updated its Premier League title forecast ahead of the final round of fixtures.
According to the prediction model, Arsenal now have an 85.64% chance of winning the title, while Manchester City’s chances stand at just 14.36%.
The Gunners could even be crowned champions before playing again if City fail to beat Bournemouth on Tuesday.
Source: Getty Images
Arsenal equal two Premier League records
Arsenal also matched two Premier League records during their hard-fought win over Burnley.
Set-piece goals have become a trademark of Arsenal’s season, and Havertz’s header means they have now scored from a dead-ball situation, excluding penalties, in 19 different league matches this campaign.
That equals the record for the most Premier League games featuring a set-piece goal by one team in a 38-game season, with Arsenal having the chance to break the record against Crystal Palace.
Monday’s victory also marked the sixth Premier League game this season in which Arsenal did not allow a single shot on target, another joint-record in the competition since the 2003/04 campaign.
Points Arsenal need to win Premier League
Earlier, YEN.com.gh reported that the win over Burnley pushed Arsenal to 82 points and opened a five-point lead over Man City, although Pep Guardiola’s side still has two matches left to play.
With only one fixture remaining for the Gunners, the equation is now straightforward - beat Crystal Palace on May 24, and the trophy returns to North London regardless of what City do elsewhere.
Proofreading by Bruce Douglas, copy editor at YEN.com.gh.
Source: YEN.com.gh
