Supercomputer Predicts 2026 World Cup Winner After Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal Exit

Supercomputer Predicts 2026 World Cup Winner After Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal Exit

  • Opta's supercomputer updated its 2026 World Cup predictions after Spain eliminated Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal
  • France leads the supercomputer's projections as the overwhelming favourites to lift the trophy with a 28.39% probability
  • Morocco has a 4.56% chance to become the first African nation ever to win the FIFA World Cup

Opta's supercomputer has updated its 2026 FIFA World Cup title predictions as the quarter-final picture becomes clearer, with France emerging as the leading favourites.

The latest projections came after Arsenal midfielder Mikel Merino scored a dramatic stoppage-time winner to fire Spain past Portugal and into the last eight.

The defeat also dashed Cristiano Ronaldo's dream of finally lifting the World Cup trophy in his illustrious career.

Opta's supercomputer, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Kylian Mbappe, France, Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal, 2026 World Cup predictions, France World Cup chances, Ronaldo elimination, Morocco World Cup history, quarter-final fixtures 2026.
France are the overwhelming favourites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to Opta's latest supercomputer predictions. Photos by Anadolu and Molly Darlington.
Source: Getty Images

Supercomputer backs France to win World Cup

According to Opta, France tops the supercomputer's updated standings with a 28.39% probability of lifting the trophy, placing them well clear of the rest of the field.

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Guinness World Records salutes Ronaldo after World Cup exit

Spain follows in second place at 21.75%, boosted by their progress to the last eight, where they will face Belgium.

England sits third at 18.18% ahead of their quarter-final against Norway, who knocked Brazil out of the tournament.

Defending champions Argentina carry an 11.69% chance of retaining the title, while Norway are rated at 6.79% as a dark horse contender.

Morocco, who dismantled Canada 3-0 in the Round of 16 to set up a quarter-final against France, has a 4.56% probability of becoming the first African nation in history to win the World Cup.

Watch how Morocco dispatched Canada, as shared on YouTube:

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World Cup: Quarter-final fixtures take shape

The final two quarter-final places are yet to be decided, with Argentina set to face Egypt and Switzerland taking on Colombia.

The winner of Argentina vs Egypt will meet either Switzerland or Colombia, the side that knocked Ghana out in the Round of 32.

Read also

Supercomputer predicts winner of Portugal vs Spain World Cup 2026 round of 16 clash

Watch highlights of Colombia's victory over Ghana, as shared on YouTube:

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Opta's supercomputer indicates that Colombia has a 3.38% chance of winning the World Cup, followed by Belgium (2.79%), Switzerland (2.15%) and Egypt (0.33%).

Brazil's exit has blown the tournament wide open, removing the most successful nation in World Cup history from the title race, as noted by BBC Sport.

But Spain, who are yet to concede a goal at the tournament, and Thomas Tuchel's England side head into the quarter-finals full of confidence.

Opta's supercomputer, 2026 FIFA World Cup, Kylian Mbappe, France, Cristiano Ronaldo's Portugal, 2026 World Cup predictions, France World Cup chances, Ronaldo elimination, Morocco World Cup history, quarter-final fixtures 2026.
Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham are leading England's charge for a first ever World Cup since 1966. Photo by Julian Finney - FIFA.
Source: Getty Images

Both teams believe they have what it takes to go all the way, alongside France, who remain the only side to have won every match so far.

Ronaldo tears up after Portugal's World Cup elimination

Earlier, YEN.com.gh reported that Cristiano Ronaldo broke down in tears after Portugal's elimination from the 2026 FIFA World Cup, in what is expected to be his final appearance at the tournament.

A video showing the emotional Portugal captain quickly went viral on social media after the defeat to Spain.

Source: YEN.com.gh

Authors:
Godwin Nii Armah Tagoe avatar

Godwin Nii Armah Tagoe (Sports Editor) Godwin Nii Armah Tagoe is a CAF-accredited journalist with over five years of experience in digital journalism. He holds a Bachelor's Degree in Integrated Rural Arts and Industry (2016). Godwin's career includes covering the 2023 AFCON and grassroots competitions within Ghana. He has also served as a Presenter at VNTV, a Sports Analyst at Obonu FM, and a Football Writer for a myriad of sports websites. He joined Yen.com.gh in 2024 to cover sports. Email: godwin.tagoe@yen.com.gh.