Election 2024: Mahama Secures Significant Lead Over Bawumia In Final Global InfoAnalytics Poll

• Global InfoAnalytics has the National Democratic Congress presidential candidate, John Mahama, winning the 2024 election
• The poll has him with 51.1% of the vote, while his closest competitor, Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, has 37.3%
• Global InfoAnalytics' head of polls, Mussa Dankwah, told YEN.com.gh that key data points showed Bawumia was losing first-time and young voters

The final field poll conducted by Global InfoAnalytics shows that the National Democratic Congress presidential candidate, John Mahama, will win the 2024 election.

The poll showed the former president with a comprehensive lead over his closest competitor, Vice President Dr Mahamudu Bawumia of the New Patriotic Party.

The analysis showed Mahama with 51.1% of the committed voters, while Bawumia had 37.3%.

The poll also noted that independent candidates Alan Kwadwo Kyeremanten and Nana Kwame Bediako would get 4.1% and 6.2% of the vote, respectively. The remaining nine candidates are expected to secure 1.3%.

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Under the unweighted likely voters’ model, Mahama still leads with 49.3% compared to Bawumia’s 35.9%.

The poll noted that voter apathy is a significant challenge for the NPP, with 16% of potential non-voters identified as party supporters.

The ruling party was predicted to struggle to achieve its target of 85% in the Ashanti region as Bediako surged ahead.

By contrast, the NDC would see only 3% of its supporters in this category.

Floating voters and those who declined to disclose their affiliations were said to make up 38% and 39% of those who say they would not vote.

InfoAnalytics poll shows Bawumia losing support

Global InfoAnalytics' head of polls, Mussa Dankwah, told YEN.com.gh that data points of note showed Bawumia was losing first-time and young voters.

Dankwa also noted that the Vice President was losing ground among Muslims.

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"Bawumia dropped by nearly 4% in October 2024 compared to July 2024. The poll shows a significant decline in support for DMB among Muslims, a demography his campaign has targeted."

NPP headed for defeat in 11 regions

An earlier study from the SMB Intelligence study projected the NDC to win 11 regions in the upcoming election.

The study also said the NPP would lose significant votes in the Ashanti Region.

UK research and data firm Fitch Solutions already expected the NPP to lose the 2024 elections.

The firm said 54% of respondents surveyed tipped the NDC to beat the ruling party.

Mahama leading Bawumia in Gen Z battle

YEN.com.gh also previously reported that Mahama is heavily favoured by first-time voters in swing regions.

Global InfoAnalytics data showed the ex-president has 55.4% of such votes, compared to Bawumia with 31.5%.

Proofread by Bruce Douglas, senior copy editor at YEN.com.gh

Source: YEN.com.gh