Bawumia Will Lose 2028 Election Against Any NDC Candidate: Global InfoAnalytics Polls

• A new Global InfoAnalytics poll showed Dr Bawumia would lose the 2028 election to any of the NDC’s potential presidential aspirants
• Finance Minister Dr Cassiel Ato Forson is projected to win by the largest margin, securing 58% of the vote against the former veep
• The poll also indicated Kennedy Agyapong would have performed even worse, due to perceived low support in the northern regions

A new poll by Global InfoAnalytics has shown that the newly elected presidential candidate of the New Patriotic Party (NPP), Dr Mahamudu Bawumia, would lose the 2028 election to any of the rumoured presidential aspirants of the ruling National Democratic Congress (NDC).

The NDC is expected to hold its flagbearer race in 2027 to elect a new presidential candidate for the 2028 elections.

So far, some of the individuals rumoured to be lacing their boots for the contest include the current Minister for Education and MP for Tamale North, Haruna Iddrisu; the Minister for Finance, Dr Cassiel Ato Forson; the National Chairman of the NDC, Johnson Asiedu Nketia; and the Chief of Staff, Julius Debrah.

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An excerpt from the Global InfoAnalytics poll, released on Monday, February 2, 2026, indicated that Dr Forson would give the NDC its biggest victory if he is elected to face Dr Bawumia.

• According to the poll, the Finance Minister would obtain 58 per cent of total votes cast if he contests against the NPP's presidential candidate in 2028
• The poll also showed that the NDC would win the 2028 election by 56 per cent if it presents Haruna Iddrisu to face off with Dr Bawumia
• It further indicated that the ruling NDC would retain power, winning by 53 per cent if it fields Johnson Asiedu Nketia as its candidate in 2028.

Going by the data, the NPP flagbearer would be no match for Haruna Iddrisu, Dr Ato Forson, Johnson Asiedu Nketia, or Julius Debrah.

Again, according to Global InfoAnalytics, the NDC would narrowly win the 2028 election if it presents the Chief of Staff to face Dr Bawumia.

Per the poll, Debrah is likely to obtain 50 per cent of the votes for the NDC, while Dr Bawumia would secure 46 per cent for the NPP.

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Read the Facebook post below:

Details of Global InfoAnalytics 2028 election polls

Below is the breakdown of the Global InfoAnalytics poll:

• Haruna Iddrisu - 56%, Dr Bawumia - 40%, others - 4%
• Dr Ato Forson - 58%, Dr Bawumia - 38%, others - 4%
• Asiedu Nketia - 53%, Dr Bawumia - 43%, others - 4%
• Juliud Debrah - 50%, Dr Bawumia - 46%, others - 4%.

The poll also showed that the NPP would have suffered an even greater defeat if Kennedy Agyapong had won the party's recent presidential primary.

Below is the breakdown of how the former MP would have performed if he were the NPP's presidential candidate facing the NDC flagbearer hopefuls:

• Haruna Iddrisu - 61%, Kennedy Agyapong - 34%, others - 5 %
• Dr Ato Forson - 62%, Kennedy Agyapong - 34%, others - 4%
• Asiedu Nketia - 57%, Kennedy Agyapong - 38%, others - 5%
• Julius Debrah - 53%, Kennedy Agyapong - 41%, others - 6%.

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According to the poll, Agyapong would have performed poorly against the NDC candidates due to a collapse in NPP votes across the five northern regions.

Bawumia wins NPP presidential primary

Earlier, YEN.com.gh reported that Dr Mahamudu Bawumia had won the NPP's presidential primary to become the party's flagbearer for the 2028 election.

The former Vice President secured 56.48% of the votes, with Kennedy Agyapong and Dr Bryan Acheampong securing 23.8% and 18.5%, respectively.

Proofreading by Bruce Douglas, copy editor at YEN.com.gh.

Source: YEN.com.gh